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Mind your Business - 22 November 2004

The London Olympic Bid - Money Well Spent?

The News

The Olympic flag

Image Copyright: Tamas Szafko, stock.xchng

The team for the London Olympic bid in 2012 flew to Lausanne, Switzerland on November 14th 2004 to hand in a 600 page bid document to the International Olympic Committee (IOC). The document details the technical aspects of the bid, which all the short-listed cities in the process must submit. The other cities are Madrid, Moscow, New York and Paris.

The IOC will now go through the documents and will be further informed on the respective bids by visits to each city to put the plans into further context. The IOC will then meet to vote for the winning city in July 2005. The IOC consists of 128 members, and delegates will be visiting London to view the plans further from 16th to 19th February 2005.

One of the key factors in the success of the Games bid will be the extent to which the public support it. There have been complaints that London is again the centre of an attempt to host a major sporting event - other cities such as Birmingham and Manchester have attempted to bid for having national sporting contests and facilities in their cities but feel they have been overlooked. Manchester held the very successful Commonwealth Games in 2002 but Birmingham lost out in its attempt to build the national stadium to replace Wembley. The fact that London is being used is important in the eyes of the world according to bid officials. The capital is a big draw and it was felt that bids centred on other parts of the UK would not have as high a chance of success.

London is intending to build a new stadium for the main athletics events and will also make extensive use of existing world-renowned facilities to host other sports. Lords Cricket Ground would host archery, Wimbledon the tennis, the new Wembley Stadium the soccer and the Millennium Dome the gymnastics. Other sports would be held in and around London's parks and the new Olympic village is planned to be built in Stratford to the east of London.

The Olympic Park in east London

Image: A view of the proposed Olympic Park in east London. Copyright: Reproduced with kind permission of London 2012.

Public support therefore is going to be a major factor in generating sufficient momentum to persuade the IOC that not only could London finance and host the games successfully but that it would be a project embraced and welcomed by people throughout the UK. Evidence suggests that support is growing but that public enthusiasm lags behind that of Madrid and Paris.

Part of the reason for the contrasting enthusiasm maybe the traditional 'British reserve' and cynicism for such projects but it could also be due to the fears over the cost of staging the bid and hosting the Games. There is no doubting that Britain can host large scale successful sporting events - the public enthusiasm for the Commonwealth Games was widely praised but that also took time to capture the imagination.

The cost however is something that does concern people. The bill for the Olympics in Athens in the summer of 2004 has been estimated at more than double the original budgeted target. The Greek finance minister has reported that the cost will amount to €9 billion or £6.3 billion. He also estimates that the final bill will be much higher given that the cost of developing the infrastructure for the Games has not yet been settled.

Most Games it seems have suffered from cost pressures; the cost of the 2000 Games in Sydney was budgeted at £1 billion but went over budget and as far back as Montreal in Canada in 1976, the dreams of the Mayor of Montreal , Jean Drapeau, have left a legacy of a stadium that has been costly to maintain and which is still costing Montreal taxpayers money! Drapeau claimed in January 1973 that the Montreal Olympics would be self-financing and that it would even make a profit!

Construction of the Olympic stadium in Athens

Image: The cost of the Athens Olympics is still not known for sure but is way over that budgeted - are such budget overruns inevitable with such large-scale projects?
Title: Olympic Stadium. Copyright: Getty Images, available from Education Image Gallery.

The budget for staging the Games in London has been set at around £2.4 billion, significantly less than the cost of staging the games in Athens. The organisers point to the numerous benefits that the Games will bring to the UK as a whole - but there again, every bidding committee is likely to make such claims!

Theory

The major concepts behind the plans to stage the Olympics involve opportunity cost and externalities.

Opportunity cost is the cost expressed in terms of the next best alternative foregone. It seeks to address the issue of 'cost' in a different way than merely looking at things in terms of financial cost. Saying that the Olympics will 'cost £2.375 billion' only tells us a small part of the total picture. Opportunity cost seeks to offset the financial cost in terms of what you are getting for that financial outlay in comparison with the benefits that could be acquired if the money was spent on alternative goods or services.

The central point of economics and business is decision making - deciding between allocating resources to competing uses to satisfy wants and needs. In so doing, we are placing relative values on these competing uses. One of the arguments in favour of hosting the Games is that it will deliver a wide range of economic and business related benefits that will not just be experienced at the time of the Games itself. Some of the obvious immediate benefits will be the jobs created, the increase in tourist revenues and the improvements in infrastructure. However, there are other benefits that may be less obvious.

This was one of the arguments for the much-criticised Millennium Dome. The Dome itself and the entertainment it housed was one thing - whatever was thought of it by those who visited or chose not to as the case may be - but one of the less talked about benefits was the impact it has had on the local area. The area was a derelict site at the heart of a run down area. The Dome meant that new transport infrastructure was developed; land brought back into use and could have been responsible for breathing new life into the immediate region. Such improvements are essential to attract new housing, new businesses and other entertainment and leisure facilities. Such improvements would not, it could be argued, have happened without the steps taken to build the Dome.

The Millennium Dome

Image: The Millennium Dome - will the costs be outweighed by the benefits eventually? Copyright: www.freeimages.co.uk

What we have to do, therefore, is find some way of attaching relative values to the different decisions that could be made. The cost for the Games is estimated at £2.375 billion. What else could £2.375 billion buy?

  • A new hospital in Manchester - a so-called super hospital - was estimated to have cost £400 million in 2001.
  • The cost of building a new primary school in Worcestershire was estimated at £1.5 million, the capital cost of a new secondary school in Wales, £13 million.
  • The average cost of constructing one mile of dual three-lane motorway in 1998 was estimated at £17.1 million.

Using such information we can look at the 'cost' of staging the Games as follows:

  • We could build nearly 6 new 'super hospitals'.
  • We could build 158 new primary schools around the country or 18 new secondary schools.
  • We could construct 140 miles of new motorway.

The question is, therefore, does the money spent on hosting the games represent a higher value in terms of the benefits gained than any of the other projects? The 'true' cost of hosting the Games, therefore, could be expressed not as £2.375 billion but in terms of the 6 hospitals foregone or the 158 new primary schools sacrificed.

To try to make some sense of this approach we need to have some understanding of the relative benefits and costs associated with such decisions. It is all very well suggesting that we are sacrificing 158 new primary schools but do we need new primary schools more than we need to host the Olympics?

This is where an understanding of externalities comes in useful.

Stonehenge

Image: Stonehenge - is a trip to Stonehenge strong competition to the entertainment that the Olympics might provide?
Copyright: Egon Kuster, stock.xchng

Externalities are the effects on a third party (i.e. someone who is not directly involved in making the decision) of a decision. Externalities can be classified as positive, where there are benefits to third parties, and negative, where the effects are considered to be detrimental. External costs and benefits are important because, together with the obvious costs - the private costs such as the cost of building the new stadium and providing the infrastructure - they give a picture of the 'true' costs.

These external costs could include the cost to local businesses in and around London of the disruption that might be caused during construction work and improvements to the transport facilities, it could be the cost of the loss of regular tourists to local hotels at the time of the Games who may be put off by the congestion they might anticipate from the staging of the Games or it might be the loss of revenue experienced by other 'competing' facilities during the Games themselves - tourist spots like Stonehenge, for example.

The external benefits, however, may also be extensive. Hotels and other tourist attractions in and around London might benefit from the increase in tourism to the area, transport users in the capital may benefit from a better transport system, businesses throughout the UK might benefit from the injection of capital and the associated work that is likely to be created.

For example, the bid team suggests that clothing for 50,000 volunteers will have to be made - if such work goes to a UK textile firm it could be very beneficial indeed. Add into this the fact that in addition to hosting the Olympic Games, there will be the responsibility of hosting the Paralympics - the benefits that will be derived to those who have disabilities will be enormous as London is transformed to accommodate their needs - and the needs of disabled people who visit the city after the Games have long finished.

Balance this with the costs and benefits potentially derived from the other options - the benefits of the extra hospitals, schools or whatever and you have a basis for making an assessment as to whether the time and money expended on the bid is worthwhile.

Questions

  1. In groups of 3 or 4, identify as many private and social costs you can think of in London staging the 2012 Olympic Games. You do not have to identify the actual costs in terms of money but you may be able to get some ideas on the extent of the expenditure involved by looking at the experience of Athens - see the links below to help you. What you are looking for is to identify the obvious and the not so obvious costs involved.
  2. Now do the same thing for the benefits.
  3. Now consider the social and private costs involved in ONE of the alternatives to spending the money on hosting the Olympics.
  4. Produce a report or a presentation on the economic and business issues surrounding London's bid to host the Olympic Games in 2012. Your report/presentation should highlight the main issues and provide some judgements about whether the bid should continue and whether there is an economic and business argument for hosting the Games.

Related Web sites for Research

Mark Scheme

Because the format of the task is based on an element of group work and the possibility of a report or presentation, there are no real hard answers to the questions. You are asked to think of as many of the costs and benefits as possible for both hosting the Games and for one of the alternative options identified in the theory section above - the article and the theory will give you some clues and some research using the links will provide you with help in identifying others - use your creative juices and think laterally!

Once you have worked through these you are asked to bring your thoughts and ideas together through a report or a presentation. The aim of this task is to get you to synthesise information collected, organise it into a coherent argument and present it appropriately.

Again, there is no right or wrong way to do this but you will need to think carefully about how you plan it - ensure that you consider both sides of the argument, try to offer support for your points in the form of data, quotes (always acknowledge them by the way), statistics and so on.

You are invited to draw some conclusions and make a judgement about whether you think the Games should come to London on economic and business grounds. The latter point is vital - you must present the economic and business arguments but in so doing you are at liberty to interpret to what extent some issues can be considered a legitimate business or economic argument.