The Interest Rate Transmission Mechanism
The Effect of Elasticity: Exports Inelastic, Imports Elastic
Now look at what might happen if the price elasticities were different. Assume that the PED for imports is -1.2 and the PED for exports is -0.9.
Assume that, as before, the price of exports rises by 5% and the price of imports falls, also, by 5%. Again, try and work out the solution before looking at the answer.
The Solution
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- The rise in the price of exports by 5% will now result in a fall in demand by 0.9 x 5 = 4.5%
- The % change in demand is less than the % change in price - export revenue will rise
We would have expected the demand for exports to fall and maybe we would have assumed the amount earned from exports would fall but because demand for exports is relatively inelastic, revenue has actually risen despite the rise in price.
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- The fall in the price of imports will lead to the demand for imports rising by 1.2 x 5 = 6%
- The % change in demand is greater than the % change in price - expenditure on imports will rise
Assuming the rise in the expenditure on imports in greater than the rise in the revenue earned from exports, the balance of payments will move into deficit (or the deficit will get wider).
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