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Introduction |
Home TheoriesThe Economic Effects of a DevaluationNext theory - The Imposition of Quotas >> A fall in the exchange rate of a country's currency can occur due to market forces, where changes in the demand for or supply of a foreign currency change the equilibrium price. In the case of a fixed exchange rate the government can intervene in the foreign exchange market and cause a fall or devaluation in the exchange rate. In either case, the impact of a fall in the value of a currency will be the same. As the value of a local currency such as the Kwacha depreciates, all Zambian exports become cheaper to overseas customers. The demand for the exports will increase. Export industries should see increases in their order books. Conversely, the local prices of imports will increase causing domestic demand for these imported goods and services to fall. The conclusion might be drawn that the effect of cheaper exports and more expensive imports might improve the balance of payments situation. It is only possible to assess the impact on the balance of payments when the earnings from the exports and the spending on imports are considered. This will depend upon the price of the imports and exports AND the quantity of imports and exports bought and sold. Students of economics will see that the price elasticity of demand for exports and imports plays an important part here. It is thus necessary to explore the conditions when a fall in the exchange rate will improve the balance of payments situation. This is embodied in the Marshall Lerner Condition. Next theory - The Imposition of Quotas >>
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